When you observe the behavior of the radicalized extreme right groups within the Republican Party, you come to believe that each of those groups on the most conservative side is behind pushing Donald Trump’s candidacy, and Donald Trump’s absence from being part of the debate, who until this moment leads the polls as the leading candidate to be the candidate of the Republican Party, on the national problems to define the presidential candidacy, could be one of the reasons for this drop in the support of a Republican sector that wants a different option.

But, this type of conclusion of the safe nomination for the presidential elections in 2024 against Joe Biden by some Republican political analysts may be misleading, when we note that the former president does not currently have the full support of the most enthusiastic militants of this political organization.

Which is a product of the division that exists between the most moderate groups and the extreme right groups of the party, who in the past unconditionally supported Donald Trump, when you observe the lack of enthusiasm in attendance at political rallies in support of Donald Trump..

Many political analysts consider that talking about the Republican Party is talking about Donald Trump’s party, and more if you analyze the support of the senators and a large majority of the disputed Republicans who, despite the electoral defeat, still see Donald Trump as the indisputable leader of the Republican Party.

But such support must see it for what it is: a response from these congressmen to stay in power using the popularity that Donald Trump still has in the party, avoiding any type of challenge in the party’s primaries.

Something that we must all understand is that Donald Trump is no longer the president of the nation, which significantly diminishes the power that Donald Trump has in fulfilling the expectations of those radicalized extreme right groups that in the past unconditionally supported the former President Donald Trump.

It is one thing to be in power and another thing to lose power. Right now, Donald Trump does not really have any power to protect the activities of radicalized groups of the extreme right against any type of investigation or monitoring promoted by the intelligence agencies of the federal government (FBI, Homeland Security, offices of the attorney general of the nation).

Is pardoning members of the extreme right groups convicted of attacking Capital Hill a promise by Donald Trump that many do not believe?

“A large majority of the pro-Trump supporters who participated in the insurgency on Capitol Hill, in the face of the accusations that weigh on them, expected that Donald Trump would favor them with a presidential pardon in the last days of the administration, and it never happened, pretending that a next administration would be a reality is something that remains to be seen, if Donald Trump wins the presidency despite all the judicial accusations that he has to answer .”

Right now, around 150 people have been arrested and accused of attacking Capital Hill and another 400 are being investigated for participation, planning, trespassing and the attack on January 6 on the Congress building in Washington, DC.

Some members extreme right groups as a reaction, because no one who participated in the coup against the democratic system received a pardon, many of them began to speak out against Donald Trump for his lack of courage. Many of them felt betrayed by Donald Trump, and some allege that they attacked Congress in a mob because the president asked them to do so at a rally hours before.

Even some leaders of the extreme right-wing nationalist group with anti-Jewish, pro-white supremacy and anti-immigrant ideology known as the proud boys felt abandoned because of the low credibility of Donald Trump’s words, who, faced with their legal problems, threw them under the bus, an action of betrayal of Donald Trump that created a feeling of disappointment in the lack of courage of its leader.

Another aspect to consider is the product of a violent mob trying to start a coup against democracy incited by Donald Trump, a group identifying the vast majority of them as pro-Trump supporters. Pro Trump supporters who belong to the most radical wing of the Republican Party.

No one doubts that these images of a violent attack on Congress, distorted nationally and internationally, changed the political consciousness of many Republicans who feel ashamed of participating in that party. There are many Republicans who are leaving the party right now, But there are also some members of extreme right groups who do not have the same enthusiasm behind Donald Trump’s presidential candidacy as they did in the past..

No one doubts that right now, as a result of that violent act against Congress by more radicalized extreme right groups, many Republicans who follow conservative philosophy and democratic values ​​feel disillusioned with the behavior of the party leaders, who do not dare to break with Donald Trump out of fear of negative reaction from pro Trump supporters, although Donald Trump was responsible for the attack on Capitol Hill.

Many of them do not dare to confront him openly for fear of listening to Donald Trump’s threats from anyone who supports his way of doing politics, which is poisoning the democratic system with those who are clearly considered autocratic by a Donald Trump who is desperate for the results of the criminal cases of which he is being accused right now.

Has Donald Trump lost support with the Republican leaders in Congress? 

The impeachment results in the past that favored Donald Trump gave you an idea of how much support Republicans have for President Donald Trump, but when you observe the behavior and silence in the federal and state trials that the former president has now, they tell you that support for Donald Trump is breaking down, and many senators are simply waiting to see what happens.

Nobody has any illusions that Donald Trump will be convicted in all cases, but if he is found guilty, he would do a lot of damage to his presidential aspirations, and even more so he is found guilty and has to go to prison. One thing is what people think about Donald Trump’s criminal conduct, and another is what leaders and senators think when judging the former president about his political future, something that right now seems uncertain.

Many political analysts believe that Republican senators in Congress, especially McConnell, who is the minority leader in the Senate, do not have the courage to publicly condemn Donald Trump in the trials he is involved in right now, so Donald Trump believes there is every possibility that he could be found guilty of some of the crimes for which they are being accused. Associated accusations of inciting a mob that attacked the Capitol.

Although many Republicans repudiate the racist and anti-democratic behavior of Donald Trump, none dare publicly denounce him, all for fear of the reaction of the Republican Party bases that still unconditionally support him. No one doubts that the Republican Party is controlled by Donald Trump right now, which is why many Republicans are leaving that party.

When you analyze the behavior of the Republican leaders in Congress, no one doubts that the moderate sector of the party does not have any type of voice because the party right now is being controlled by the most conservative Republican sector of the radical extreme right, who are doing everything possible to make life impossible for Joe Biden’s administration.

Now with the departure of former House Leader Kevin McCarthy, how he was the Speaker of the House. With Rep. Matt Gaetz of Florida forced the vote on the “motion to vacate” and the entry of Mike Johnson as the new most conservative leader, the possibilities of any agreement between the Joe Biden administration and the Republican leadership in Congress seem impossible and even more so when the extreme right groups are in control of the lower house right now.

One year before the presidential and congressional elections, many police analysts consider that right now the American people are divided into radically opposed groups, which is why nothing is being done in Congress to pass any type of legislation that benefits Americans.

From my point of view, one wants to accept it or not, but in the congressional and presidential elections in 2024, we could say that based on the results of those elections, and even more so if Donald Trump is elected president again, no one has an idea of what the destiny of the nation will be in the next four years if Joe Biden is not re-elected as president. Results in the presidential elections, in which the nation’s political system between a democracy and an autocracy will be at stake.

As a way to save the democratic system, will moderate Republicans support the Democrats in the presidential elections to prevent Donald Trump’s return to power? It is an answer that no one knows, and even more so in a nation where the political tribalism of extreme political factions as a result of political tribalism will make any type of nation-national reconciliation an impossible task in the future, regardless of the new president.